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Monday 19 June 2017

CDSL IPO .... A Must apply for Long & Short term investors Both

CDSL – a must inclusion in any demat account

The company is coming out with an offer for sale of 3.5 crore equity shares in the price band of Rs 145 – Rs 149 per share. The issue will be open to subscription from June 19 to June 21.


Moneycontrol Research


In the duopoly market of depository (NSDL and CDSL), the listing of CDSL (Central Depository Services (India) Limited) provides investors with an opportunity to participate in the steady, stable, high entry- barrier business. While CDSL (promoted by The Bombay Stock Exchange) prima facie is the smaller of the two depositories and a late entrant in the business, it has been able to recoup lost ground and has been beating its competition in incremental business. Besides depository, the company has diversified into other revenue stream. The steady financials and attractive valuation makes it a must addition in every demat account.


The Issue


The company is coming out with an offer for sale of 3.5 crore equity shares in the price band of Rs 145 – Rs 149 per share. The issue will be open to subscription from 19th June to 21st June. At the upper end of the price band, the issue size is Rs 524 crore (QIB 50%, Non-institutional 15% and Retail 35%). At this price, the post issue market capitalisation works out to Rs 1557 crore.


Out of the Rs 524 crore offer – 77% will go to BSE, 14% to SBI, 3% to Bank of Baroda and 3% to Calcutta Stock Exchange.


The Business


CDSL offers dematerialization for a wide range on securities like equity shares, preference shares, mutual fund units, debt instruments and government securities. The company has over 12.4 million Beneficial Owner (BO) accounts and 589 registered Depository Participants (DP) spread over 17,000 service centres across India.
For the corporates, CDSL offers facilities to credit securities to a shareholder or applicants demat account. The other services include KYC (know your customer) services in respect of investors in capital markets to capital market intermediaries. Another facility offered by the Company allows holding of insurance policies in electronic form to the holders of these insurance policies of various insurance companies.

CDSL provides online services such as e-voting, e-locker, National Academy Depository, electronic access to security information (easi), electronic access to security information and execution of secured transaction (easiest) drafting and preparation of wills for succession (myeasiwill) and mobile application (myeasi, m-voting) and transactions using secured texting (TRUST).
The Company has been shortlisted as a GST Suvidha Provider (GSP) to GST Network Limited (“GSTN”), a Government of India initiative for recording all filings pertaining to the Goods and Services Tax. The Company is also in the process of setting up a Warehouse Repository.

CDSL deserves a serious look on account of multiple tailwinds.

Stable Revenue: CDSL has multiple sources of stable and recurring operating revenue. Fixed annual charges collected from registered companies and transaction-based fees collected from its DPs provide stable operating revenue. The company is looking at incremental new DP relationships from Tier I and tier II cities.

The company generates additional revenue from corporates through e-notices, e-voting etc. In addition, the services rendered by subsidiaries like CDSL Ventures and CDSL Insurance offer additional income.

Foray into new businesses: CDSL endeavours to provide comprehensive range of services. It has three subsidiaries - CDSL Venture, CDSL Insurance Repository and CDSL Commodity Repository. Starting from KYC services, insurance policies in demat form to getting registered as a GSP, Warehouse repository and National Academic Repository, the initiatives in newer areas speak volume and should start getting reflected as meaningful earnings in the future.

Gaining market share despite its late start: Notwithstanding its late start (1999 compared to NSDL’s 1996), the company has been showing a healthy growth. While its overall share of revenue at 43% is lower compared to its competitor, its market share in incremental demat accounts is 60%.

Favourable macro drivers: Rising per capita income, increasing literacy, India’s demographic dividend with a large working age population and lower dependency ratio and the steady shift in savings from physical to financial are some of the strong macro drivers for a steady future growth of depositories.

Steady Financials: The Company enjoys extremely healthy margins thanks to stable revenue, lower operating costs and benefits of economies of scale. The key elements of costs are wages & employee benefits and software development & maintenance. The faster growth in BO accounts, therefore, has aided margins. The company follows a direct DP connection through centralized database system that ensures relatively low initial setup costs and minimal incremental costs.

Attractive Valuation:
While theoretically there is possibility of competition, however, in reality the chances of a third entrant in this business is remote. Any business reliant on technology do carry technological risks and CDSL is not immune to the same.

However, in the long history of the company, there hasn’t been any occasion of serious technological disruption. The business model and the healthy financials makes the valuation at 18X FY17 earnings extremely attractive.


Happy Investing
Source:Moneycontrol.com

2 comments:

  1. Subscribe to CDSL: Aditya Birla Money

    Aditya Birla Money has come out with its report on CDSL. The research firm has recommended to "Subscribe " the IPO in its research report as on June 16, 2017.

    CDSL is 2nd largest depository in India with 44% market share in terms as on FY17. However, it is noteworthy that CDSL held 60% market share of FY17 incremental BO accounts at 13.7% YoY growth. CDSL has been
    gaining market share in recent times which provides us comfort in terms

    of visibility of revenue growth.
    Valuation
    Steady growth, asset-light nature of business and decent RoE of ~20%
    shall enable the stock to command high valuation. Asset light nature of
    business enables the company to distribute 35-50% of profits as
    dividend. In FY17, it had paid ` 3/share as dividend. The IPO is
    attractively priced with TTM PE of 18x at higher price band of ` 149.
    Recommend SUBSCRIBE on the issue.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Subscribe to CDSL: Motilal Oswal

    Motilal Oswal has come out with its report on CDSL. The research firm has recommended to "Subscribe " the IPO in its research report as on June 15, 2017.

    CDSL is the leading securities depository by incremental growth of BO accounts and by the total number of registered DPs. It is second largest depository in India in terms of market share. As on April 2017, the company has 589 DPs (from 574 in FY15), servicing across 29 states and 7 union territories. The number of service centres grew at CAGR of 21.4% from 11,877 in FY15 to 17,489 in FY17 and BO accounts grew at a CAGR of 13% from 9.6mn in FY15 to 12.3mn in FY17. The company is aiming to expand its network of DPs and service centres. It expect significant portion of new

    Valuation
    CDSL is the second largest depository in terms of market share and
    has been growing at decent CAGR of 23%/14% in 3/5 years (and revenues
    grew by 13%/18%). Further, the key positive about the company is that it
    has controlled operating expenses in last 3 years which has led to
    significant margin expansion of 1150 bps since FY15 to 54% in FY17. At
    the upper band of INR149, the offer is available at 18.2x FY17 EPS which
    we believe is attractive considering - 1) strong parentage and entry
    barrier 2) stable earnings growth 3) strong margins and 4) decent ROE of
    16%. Hence we recommend to SUBSCRIBE for long term investment.

    ReplyDelete